Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000522 0.000565 0.000610 0.000661 0.000715 0.000772 0.000837
2026-01-25 0.000457 0.000517 0.000582 0.000658 0.000744 0.000838 0.000950
2026-02-01 0.000404 0.000474 0.000552 0.000647 0.000758 0.000884 0.001038
2026-02-08 0.000364 0.000440 0.000528 0.000638 0.000770 0.000925 0.001120
2026-02-15 0.000333 0.000413 0.000509 0.000630 0.000782 0.000963 0.001199
2026-02-22 0.000306 0.000390 0.000491 0.000624 0.000792 0.000999 0.001274
2026-03-01 0.000284 0.000370 0.000476 0.000617 0.000801 0.001032 0.001346
2026-03-08 0.000263 0.000349 0.000458 0.000606 0.000802 0.001054 0.001403
2026-03-15 0.000245 0.000332 0.000443 0.000597 0.000806 0.001078 0.001462
2026-03-22 0.000227 0.000312 0.000424 0.000582 0.000799 0.001088 0.001503
2026-03-29 0.000213 0.000298 0.000411 0.000573 0.000800 0.001108 0.001556
2026-04-05 0.000202 0.000287 0.000403 0.000571 0.000810 0.001138 0.001625
2026-04-12 0.000192 0.000278 0.000397 0.000572 0.000827 0.001182 0.001719
2026-04-19 0.000182 0.000268 0.000389 0.000570 0.000838 0.001219 0.001805
2026-04-26 0.000170 0.000255 0.000376 0.000561 0.000838 0.001239 0.001866
2026-05-03 0.000160 0.000244 0.000365 0.000553 0.000839 0.001261 0.001931
2026-05-10 0.000151 0.000234 0.000355 0.000546 0.000843 0.001286 0.002000
2026-05-17 0.000143 0.000224 0.000346 0.000541 0.000846 0.001310 0.002071
2026-05-24 0.000136 0.000216 0.000337 0.000535 0.000850 0.001335 0.002142
2026-05-31 0.000128 0.000206 0.000327 0.000525 0.000847 0.001348 0.002194
2026-06-07 0.000121 0.000198 0.000317 0.000518 0.000846 0.001364 0.002252
2026-06-14 0.000113 0.000188 0.000305 0.000504 0.000835 0.001365 0.002285
2026-06-21 0.000107 0.000180 0.000297 0.000497 0.000834 0.001380 0.002340